Purpose of review: There are no current drug therapies to limit abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) growth. This review summarizes evidence suggesting that inhibiting proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 (PCSK9) may be a drug target to limit AAA growth.

Recent findings: Mendelian randomization studies suggest that raised LDL and non-HDL-cholesterol are causal in AAA formation. PCSK9 was reported to be upregulated in human AAA samples compared to aortic samples from organ donors. PCSK9 gain of function viral vectors promoted aortic expansion in C57BL/6 mice infused with angiotensin II. The effect of altering PCSK9 expression in the aortic perfusion elastase model was reported to be inconsistent. Mutations in the gene encoding PCSK9, which increase serum cholesterol, were associated with increased risk of human AAA. Patients with AAA also have a high risk of cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction and stroke. Recent research suggests that PCSK9 inhibition would substantially reduce the risk of these events.

Summary: Past research suggests that drugs that inhibit PCSK9 have potential as a novel therapy for AAA to both limit aneurysm growth and reduce risk of cardiovascular events. A large multinational randomized controlled trial is needed to test if PCSK9 inhibition limits AAA growth and cardiovascular events.

Objective: Whether angiotensin II blockade is an effective medical treatment for abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs) has not been established. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to determine the association between angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitor (ACEi) or angiotensin receptor blocker (ARB) prescription and AAA growth and events.

Data sources: MEDLINE, Embase, Scopus, Web of Science, and the Cochrane Library databases were searched from their inception to 4 January 2024, with no language restrictions.

Review methods: The five databases were searched for randomised controlled trials (RCTs) and observational studies reporting the association between ACEi or ARB prescription and AAA growth, repair, or rupture. The primary outcome was AAA growth, with secondary outcomes of AAA rupture, AAA repair, and AAA related events (rupture and repair combined). Risk of bias was assessed using the Risk of Bias 2 tool for RCTs and with a modified Newcastle-Ottawa scale for observational studies. Certainty of evidence was assessed using the Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluation (GRADE). Random effects models were used for meta-analyses.

Results: Eleven studies (two RCTs, eight observational studies, and one meta-analysis of individual patient data from seven populations) involving 58 022 patients were included. ACEi prescription was not associated with a statistically significant reduction in AAA growth (standard mean difference 0.01 mm/year, 95% confidence interval [CI] -0.26 - 0.28; p = .93; I2 = 98%) or AAA repair (odds ratio [OR] 0.73, 95% CI 0.50 - 1.09; p = .65; I2 = 61%), but was associated with a statistically significantly lower risk of AAA rupture (OR 0.87, 95% CI 0.81 - 0.93; p < .001; I2 = 26%) and AAA related events (OR 0.82, 95% CI 0.72 - 0.95; p = .006; I2 = 80%). ARB prescription was not associated with significantly reduced AAA growth or a lower risk of AAA related events. The two RCTs had a low risk of bias, with one observational study having low, seven moderate, and one high risk of bias. All of the findings had a very low certainty of evidence based on the GRADE analysis.

Conclusion: There was no association between ACEi or ARB prescription and AAA growth, but ACEi prescription was associated with a reduced risk of AAA rupture and AAA related events with very low certainty of evidence.

Objective: We examined the associations between 25-hydroxy vitamin D (25(OH)D3) concentration and the diagnosis and growth of abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA).

Methods: AAA cases and healthy controls were recruited from vascular centers or the community. A subset of participants with AAA were monitored by repeat ultrasound examination to assess AAA growth. Serum 25(OH)D3 concentration was measured using a validated mass spectrometry method and categorized into guideline-recommended cut-points after deseasonalization. The associations between deseasonalized 25(OH)D3 concentration and AAA diagnosis and growth were examined using logistic regression and linear mixed effects modeling.

Results: A total of 4673 participants consisting of 873 (455 controls and 418 cases) from Queensland and 3800 (3588 controls and 212 cases) from Western Australia were recruited. For every 1 standard deviation increase in 25(OH)D3 concentration, odds of AAA diagnosis was significantly reduced in both Queensland (adjusted odds ratio: 0.81; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.69-0.95; P = .009) and Western Australia (adjusted odds ratio: 0.80; 95% CI: 0.68-0.94; P = .005) cohorts. A subset of 310 eligible participants with small AAA from both regions were followed for a median of 4.2 (interquartile range: 2.0-5.8) years. Compared with vitamin D sufficient participants (50 to ˂75 nmol/L), annual mean AAA growth was significantly greater in those with higher vitamin D (≥75 nmol/L) (adjusted mean difference: 0.1 mm/y, 95% CI: 0.1-0.2; P < .001).

Conclusions: High 25(OH)D3 concentration was paradoxically associated with a lower likelihood of AAA diagnosis and faster AAA growth. Further research is needed to resolve these conflicting findings.

Abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) causes ∼170 000 deaths annually worldwide. Most guidelines recommend asymptomatic small AAAs (30 to <50 mm in women; 30 to <55 mm in men) are monitored by imaging and large asymptomatic, symptomatic, and ruptured AAAs are considered for surgical repair. Advances in AAA repair techniques have occurred, but a remaining priority is therapies to limit AAA growth and rupture. This review outlines research on AAA pathogenesis and therapies to limit AAA growth. Genome-wide association studies have identified novel drug targets, e.g. interleukin-6 blockade. Mendelian randomization analyses suggest that treatments to reduce low-density lipoprotein cholesterol such as proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 inhibitors and smoking reduction or cessation are also treatment targets. Thirteen placebo-controlled randomized trials have tested whether a range of antibiotics, blood pressure-lowering drugs, a mast cell stabilizer, an anti-platelet drug, or fenofibrate slow AAA growth. None of these trials have shown convincing evidence of drug efficacy and have been limited by small sample sizes, limited drug adherence, poor participant retention, and over-optimistic AAA growth reduction targets. Data from some large observational cohorts suggest that blood pressure reduction, particularly by angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors, could limit aneurysm rupture, but this has not been evaluated in randomized trials. Some observational studies suggest metformin may limit AAA growth, and this is currently being tested in randomized trials. In conclusion, no drug therapy has been shown to convincingly limit AAA growth in randomized controlled trials. Further large prospective studies on other targets are needed.

Objective: The aim of this study was to assess whether aortic peak wall stress (PWS) and peak wall rupture index (PWRI) were associated with the risk of abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) rupture or repair (defined as AAA events) among participants with small AAAs.

Methods: PWS and PWRI were estimated from computed tomography angiography (CTA) scans of 210 participants with small AAAs (≥ 30 and ≤ 50 mm) prospectively recruited between 2002 and 2016 from two existing databases. Participants were followed for a median of 2.0 (inter-quartile range 1.9, 2.8) years to record the incidence of AAA events. The associations between PWS and PWRI with AAA events were assessed using Cox proportional hazard analyses. The ability of PWS and PWRI to reclassify the risk of AAA events compared to the initial AAA diameter was examined using net reclassification index (NRI) and classification and regression tree (CART) analysis.

Results: After adjusting for other risk factors, one standard deviation increase in PWS (hazard ratio, HR, 1.56, 95% confidence intervals, CI 1.19, 2.06; p = 0.001) and PWRI (HR 1.74, 95% CI 1.29, 2.34; p < 0.001) were associated with significantly higher risks of AAA events. In the CART analysis, PWRI was identified as the best single predictor of AAA events at a cut-off value of > 0.562. PWRI, but not PWS, significantly improved the classification of risk of AAA events compared to the initial AAA diameter alone.

Conclusion: PWS and PWRI predicted the risk of AAA events but only PWRI significantly improved the risk stratification compared to aortic diameter alone.

Key points: • Aortic diameter is an imperfect measure of abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) rupture risk. • This observational study of 210 participants found that peak wall stress (PWS) and peak wall rupture index (PWRI) predicted the risk of aortic rupture or AAA repair. • PWRI, but not PWS, significantly improved the risk stratification for AAA events compared to aortic diameter alone.

Major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), including myocardial infarction (MI), stroke and cardiovascular death, cause substantial morbidity and mortality. This review assessed the incidence rate of MACE and the association with modifiable risk factors (diabetes, hypertension) and medication use (aspirin, statins) in patients with unrepaired abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA). Electronic databases were searched systematically for observational studies reporting the incidence of MI, stroke or cardiovascular death in patients with unrepaired AAAs. The primary outcome was cardiovascular death reported as an incidence rate (events per 100 person-years (PY)). Fourteen studies, including 69,579 participants with a mean follow-up time of 5.4 years, were included. Meta-analysis revealed the overall incidence of cardiovascular death, MI and stroke of 2.31 per 100 PY (95% CI, 1.63-3.26; I2 = 98%), 1.65 per 100 PY (95% CI, 1.01-2.69, I2 = 88%) and 0.89 per 100 PY (95% CI, 0.53-1.48, I2 = 87.0%), respectively. The mean rates of statin and aspirin prescriptions were 58.1% and 53.5%, respectively. In conclusion, there is a substantial incidence of MACE in patients with unrepaired AAA, but the prescription of preventative medication is suboptimal. Greater emphasis should be placed on secondary prevention in this population.

Objective: This study aimed to examine the association between serum microRNAs (miRNAs) and diagnosis and growth of abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA), and to test their diagnostic and prognostic value.

Methods: The expression levels of 800 miRNA tags were assessed in 108 patients with AAA, 12 age and sex matched healthy controls (HCs), and 12 patients with peripheral artery disease (PAD) using NanoString technology. Findings were assessed in an independent sample of 66 patients with AAA and 29 age and sex matched HCs by reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction. AAA growth was assessed by a median of three (interquartile range [IQR] 2, 3) repeat ultrasound scans over a median follow up of 1.1 (IQR 1.0, 2.0) years. The association between the miRNA and AAA diagnosis and growth was examined by regression and linear mixed effects analyses. The diagnostic and prognostic potential of the miRNAs were examined using area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC), net re-classification index (NRI), and Cox hazard analyses.

Results: In comparison with HCs, a model combining clinical risk factors, let-7b-5p and miR-548n had an AUC of 98.0% (95% confidence interval [CI] 95.6 - 100.0; p = .003) for diagnosing AAA, which was a significant improvement over clinical risk factors alone (NRI 1.74; 95% CI 1.61 - 1.87; p < .001). Compared with PAD, a model combining clinical risk factors and miR-548n had an AUC of 99.6% (95% CI 98.9 - 100.0, p = .037) for diagnosing AAA, which was a significant improvement over clinical risk factors alone (NRI 1.79, 95% CI 1.68 - 1.91; p < .001). In the longitudinal cohort, none of the miRNAs were able to predict the likelihood of reaching surgical threshold diameter better than clinical risk factors alone.

Conclusion: Serum let-7b-5p and miR548n significantly improved the ability to diagnose AAA. None of the miRNAs had independent prognosis value in predicting AAA growth.

Background: The primary aim of this study was to test which of a group of four inflammation and thrombosis biomarkers were independently predictive of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in patients with small abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA).

Methods: A total of 471 participants with a 30- to 54-mm AAA had serum C-reactive protein (CRP), fibrinogen, neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and homocysteine measured. The primary outcome was MACE, which was defined as the first occurrence of myocardial infarction, stroke, or cardiovascular death. The association of biomarkers with events was assessed using Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazard analyses. The net improvement in risk of event categorization with addition of a biomarker to clinical risk factors alone was assessed using net reclassification index.

Results: Participants were followed for a median of 2.4 years (interquartile range, 0.8-5.4 years), and 102 (21.7%) had a MACE. The incidence of MACE was 13.2% in participants with CRP >3.0 mg/L, compared with 10.1% in those with CRP ≤3.0 mg/L at 2.5 years (P = .047). After adjusting for other risk factors, higher CRP was associated with a significantly higher risk of MACE (hazard ratio, 1.19; 95% confidence interval, 1.05-1.35). None of the other biomarkers were associated with the risk of MACE. According to the net reclassification index, CRP significantly improved the risk classification of MACE compared with clinical risk factors alone.

Conclusions: CRP can assist in classification of risk of MACE for patients with small AAA.

Objective: This study was an unplanned exploratory analysis of a subset of participants from the Telmisartan in the Management of Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm (TEDY) trial. It aimed to assess the efficacy of the angiotensin 1 receptor blocker telmisartan in reducing abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) peak wall stress (PWS) and peak wall rupture index (PWRI) among individuals with small AAAs.

Methods: Participants with AAAs measuring 35 - 49 mm in maximum diameter were randomised to receive telmisartan 40 mg or identical placebo in the TEDY trial. Participants who had computed tomography angiography performed at entry and at least one other time point during the trial (12 or 24 months) were included in the current study. Orthogonal AAA diameter, PWS, and PWRI were measured using previously validated methods. The annual change in PWS and PWRI from baseline was compared between participants allocated telmisartan or placebo using linear mixed effects models. These models were either unadjusted or adjusted for risk factors that were different in the groups at entry (p < .100) or systolic blood pressure (SBP) at one year.

Results: Of the 207 participants recruited to TEDY, 124 were eligible for inclusion in this study. This study included 65 and 59 participants from the telmisartan and placebo groups, respectively. The PWS and PWRI were not significantly different in the two groups at baseline. Participants allocated telmisartan had a slower annual increase in PWS (-4.19; 95% CI -8.24, -0.14 kPa/year; p = .043) and PWRI (-0.014; 95% CI -0.026, -0.001; p = .032) compared with those allocated placebo after adjusting for risk factors. After adjustment for SBP at one year, telmisartan did not significantly reduce annual increases in PWS or PWRI.

Conclusion: The findings of this study suggest that telmisartan limits the rate of increase in PWS and PWRI of small AAAs by reducing blood pressure.